Boxed beef

The daily cutout, primal values and the Choice–Select spread · USDA AMS · Tue, Nov 3
Choice cutout
$365.23
+0.19+0.1%
USDA · PM close · DailyNov 3
Select cutout
$358.37
+3.43+1.0%
USDA · PM close · DailyNov 3
Choice–Select spread
+$6.86
−3.24
USDA · PM close · DailyNov 3
Loads traded
140.3
+59.3+73.4%
USDA · PM close · DailyNov 3

Choice and Select cutout

PublishedWeekly · since 2004 · through Nov 2
$/cwt of carcass, afternoon close averaged to the week. This is the ceiling every cattle price is paid out of: the packer buys cattle and sells boxes, and the cutout is what the boxes brought.
ChoiceSelect
320340360380400NovJanMarMayJulSepNov$365.14$356.66
The gap between the lines — what a Choice carcass earns over Select, week by week.
Choice − Select
-100102030NovJanMarMayJulSepNov$8.48

Choice is above Select by $39.88 on the rib and $28.28 on the loin, but on the chuck, round, plate and flank Select is the higher-priced of the two.

Where the lines converge, grading stopped paying; where they part, Choice cattle were worth chasing. A thin day moves the cutout more than the market really moved — read the loads alongside the price.

Primal values

PublishedNov 3
$/cwt, 600–900 lb carcasses, front to back.
PrimalChoiceSelectCh − Se
Rib679.67639.79+39.88
Loin443.72415.44+28.28
Chuck318.48328.58−10.10
Round291.77295.24−3.47
Brisket265.83263.40+2.43
Plate222.46222.46+0.00
Flank149.41150.76−1.35
The past year, Choice, weekly — which part of the carcass is pulling the cutout.
RibLoinChuckRoundBrisketPlateFlank
0200400600800NovFebMayAugNov$677$444$319$291$268$221$150
A zero spread means USDA published the same figure for both grades that day, not that the grades traded level. Plate and short plate are one cut under two names USDA has used at different times. The rib and loin carry the grade premium; the chuck and round carry the pounds.

Daily loads

PublishedDaily · Nov 3
Loads today
140.3
+59.3 vs prior day
20-day average Derived
110.7
LoadsYear ago
050991491999/219/3010/910/2010/29
40,000-lb load equivalents, all grades and trim. The dashed line is the same weekday a year earlier. A thin day is a thin quote.

Loads by type Derived

Nov 3
The day's loads by what was in the box.
Choice cutsSets the Choice cutout104.374.4%
Select cutsSets the Select cutout9.16.5%
TrimmingsGround beef raw material12.99.2%
Coarse grindsChuck and round grinds14.010.0%
All loads140.3100%
Choice loads per Select load11.5×
USDA's reported loads; the shares are ours. The cutout is computed from the Choice and Select cuts only — trim and grinds trade alongside but do not enter it.

Individual cuts

PublishedBy volume · Nov 3
The cuts moving the most pounds today, Choice against Select. USDA reports 42 items in each grade; these are the twelve largest by weight traded.
CutChoiceSelectSpreadPoundsTrades
Brisket, deckle-off, bnls (120 1)$376.01$372.70+3.31744,97754
Chuck, roll, lxl, neck/off (116A 3)$552.68$559.18−6.50719,85461
Rib, ribeye, lip-on, bn-in (109E 1)$1,395.71$1,305.10+90.61420,20029
Loin, short loin, 0x1 (174 3)$759.42$766.44−7.02289,18922
Flank, flank steak (193 4)$577.58$585.42−7.84230,55935
Chuck, shoulder clod, trmd (114A 3)$424.25——220,12635
Round, outside round (171B 3)$367.76$380.07−12.31215,92338
Round, top inside round (168 3)$367.30$358.08+9.22178,54639
Round, eye of round (171C 3)$390.06$416.58−26.52167,24839
Loin, top butt, boneless (184 3)$492.82$463.43+29.39163,14222
Loin, top butt, CC (184B 3)$653.02——157,91916
Loin, strip, bnls, 0x1 (180 3)$870.77$766.95+103.82109,00241
Pounds and trades are both grades combined. A cut with only a handful of trades is a thin quote and can jump on one load. The full 84-line ladder — all 42 items in both grades, with history — is a Pro tool.